U.S. Dollar Gets Punished Ahead of the U.S. Durable Goods Orders Report

Sunday, September 26, 2010

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Sep 24, 2010 (DailyFX via COMTEX News Network) --

The U.S. dollar has fallen against all major currencies overnight, losing the most ground to the euro as the German IFO business climate topped expectations in September. USD traders will now shift their focus to the U.S. durable goods orders report. As of late, economists are forecasting for a 1.0 percent decline.

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Fundamental Headlines

- Japan to Release Chinese Boat Captain - Wall Street Journal

- "Macro" Forces Stump Stock Pickers - Wall Street Journal

- Eurozone Crackdown on Public Finances - Financial Times

-German Business Confidence Unexpectedly Reaches Three-Year High This Month - Bloomberg

- California Budget Deal "Framework" Reached in Talks, Schwarzenegger Says - Bloomberg

EURUSD: German IFO business climate in topped expectations in September as figures rose to 106.8 from 106.7 the month prior amid expectations of the reading falling to 106.4. The better than forecasted reading was largely contributed by the current assessment component, while expectations tapered the advance. It is worth noting that today's increase in the business climate report marks the highest reading since June 2007, and suggests that economic growth may remain intact for the next one to three months. Indeed, GDP in Europe's largest economy accelerated 2.2 percent in the second quarter, while the unemployment rate remains at its lowest level since 2008. However, expectations for future growth are blurry as governments will implement tough austerity measures in order to battle their high budget deficits. In turn, the euro pared yesterday's decline and now looks poised to test the pivot resistance at 1.3521.

Written by Michael Wright, Currency Analyst

To Receive Future Articles by Email, please contact me at mwright@fxcm.com

Michael Wright is the author of FX Headlines, Fundamentals vs. Technical's, Weekly Spotlight, and Forex Trading Weekly Forecast

DailyFX provides forex news on the economic reports and political events that influence the currency market. Learn currency trading with a free practice account and charts from FXCM.

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Exto Capital Technical: Euro pushes though key resistance

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The Euro pushed through the 1.33 resistance area and pressed higher to almost 1.35. The better than expect IFO, along with an increasing appetite for riskier currencies, lead the EUR/USD higher.

Analysis provided by Exto Capital


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Yen pares losses, intervention talk unconfirmed

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Yen pares losses, intervention talk unconfirmed

LONDON: The yen staged a partial recovery from losses prompted by unconfirmed talk of central bank intervention on Friday, while the euro rose on a stronger than expected German business sentiment survey.

The Ifo German business climate survey helped ease some of the concerns over the global economy recovery that had been revived by data on Thursday showing new claims for US employment benefits rose last week.

Crude oil prices rose for the third day in a row and world equities were steady after falling 0.5 percent the previous session.

Talk that Tokyo was intervening in the market to weaken the yen for the second time this month had helped the Nikkei share benchmark cut its losses by boosting the shares of exporting companies, though the index ended 1 percent lower when no confirmation of the intervention rumours emerged.

That still left investors edgy and with risk aversion hitting markets, traders said the Bank of Japan?s task of weakening the yen was becoming even tougher.

?The price action certainly suggested that the Japanese intervened, but one can?t be sure,? said Kenneth Broux, markets strategist at Lloyds TSB Financial Markets.

?With stock markets retreating and a general pullback in risk appetite, the yen and the Swiss franc will be supported, making the BoJ?s job harder.?

The US currency added 0.2 percent to 84.53 yen after rising as high as 85.40 earlier in the day. The greenback is still down 9 percent this year against the yen, which tends to strengthen when concerns mount over global growth.

The dollar had had fallen to 84.26 yen on Thursday, its lowest level since Tokyo intervened last week, and traders said major Japanese banks were now bidding it up.

The euro was up 0.7 percent at $1.3407 after the Munich-based Ifo think tank said its business climate index, based on a monthly survey of some 7,000 firms, rose to 106.8 from 106.7 in August. The shared currency added 1 percent to 113.34 yen. reuters

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Exto Capital Technical: Market tests the yen

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The Yen strengthen during the week as the dollar weaken as the 2-year US yields declined. Market participants will be testing the BOJ’s resolve after the USD/JPY failed to hold the post intervention levels and the 50-day moving average.

Analysis provided by Exto Capital


 Exto Capital
Exto Capital SA is an independent brokerage firm offering online forex trading and CFD trading on indices and commodities. With its asset management partner Exto Financials SA based in Switzerland, it offers a full range of investment products and services to individuals and institutions. Exto ...
Disclaimer:
Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Currency trading is not conducted on a regulated exchange, and as a result there are associated risks with forex trading.  Related Products

Broad Market Analysis

Overview Adaptation is the name of the game in long term trading success. Join Fernando Gonzalez ...

Controlling the Trade

Overview This course is more than simple rules, this class explores and shows you how to ...




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Today's Top Stock Picks - Sponsored Link

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Forex Trading Robot: Trade Forex 24 Hours a Day -- ForexTutor.org Special Report (Forex Trading Strategies)

Friday, September 24, 2010

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Forex Trading Robot:  Trade Forex 24 Hours a Day -- ForexTutor.org Special Report (Forex Trading Strategies)*** A ForexTutor.us Special Report ***

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Forex trading involves dealing in international currencies. Here, one can sell currency of one country to buy that of another. The trader deals in Foreign Exchange [Forex] at the most appropriate time to profit from the transaction. Good ability to forecast plays a vital role here. One may wonder how Forex trading can be such a lucrative earning opportunity since fluctuations in exchange is so little.

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